What US Treasury debt funds are vulnerable to default?


By Davide Barbuscia

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Wall Road’s focus is popping to at-risk U.S. Treasury debt funds because the deadline to boost the federal government’s $31.4 trillion borrowing restrict or danger default ticks nearer.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Sunday mentioned June 1 remained a “exhausting deadline” for elevating the federal debt restrict, with the percentages fairly low that the federal government will acquire sufficient income to pay its payments by June 15, when extra tax receipts are due.

Ought to the federal government fail to boost the present $31.4 trillion borrowing cap earlier than it exhausts its money and borrowing capability, it might miss funds on a few of its debt.

In June, the Treasury should pay over $1.3 trillion between T-bills and bond funds, together with principal and curiosity, JPMorgan has estimated.

“Contemplating June 1 because the ‘drop useless’ date and assuming any technical default is short-lived, payments maturing in early- to mid-June seem like most vulnerable to being the primary to default if the debt ceiling will not be raised,” fastened revenue strategists on the financial institution mentioned in a word final week.

“Along with T-bills, Treasuries with maturities in the midst of June and December are additionally vulnerable to having a missed coupon/ principal cost,” they mentioned.

T-bills don’t pay common curiosity funds as a result of their maturity dates are very brief. Longer-term Treasury debt equivalent to bonds and notes pay curiosity each six months.

Here’s a record of subsequent month’s complete curiosity and principal funds due on Treasuries by cost date:

(Reporting by Davide Barbuscia; Modifying by Lisa Shumaker)